Outlook 2022: The future of oil majors in the energy transition
The big oil and gas companies are faced with the prospect of losing a large part of their market as the world transitions away from fossil fuels. Can they carve out a positive role for themselves?
Oil supply will increase by 6pc by 2030 under stated government policies, but decline by 27pc in a scenario leading to net zero by 2050, according to the IEA. For gas, the figures are plus 10pc and minus 9pc. That is a wide range of uncertainty. And stated government policies would require an investment of nearly $700bn/yr in upstream oil from 2030—well above current levels—whereas on the net-zero-by-2050 trajectory there will be no need for investment in new fields. With reasonable optimism about global progress in converting to clean energy, a tipping point will eventually occur when prices will decline closer to the production costs of the lowest-cost fields, mainly in Opec countries. Tha
Also in this section
10 May 2024
Launch of project powered by geothermal energy in Iceland marks step forward in push to scale up expensive direct-air-capture technology
8 May 2024
Allowance prices rise 34% since start of year as regulator imposes tighter limits and considers reduction of free allocations
7 May 2024
Policymakers should consider backing enhanced weathering as a CDR technique with benefits to the agricultural sector
3 May 2024
Developers look to government’s forthcoming budget to restore support as industry suffers loss of momentum