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Letter from China: Anger erupts at Covid policy
The revolt against zero-Covid is significant but is unlikely to sway Beijing this winter
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Easing of Covid restrictions looks set to lead to surge in domestic travel
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Outlook positive for India despite Covid woes
The county’s crude demand may remain constrained this year, but the future is still bright
Oil traders focus on fundamentals, not geopolitics
Tolerance for perceived political risk has expanded, but such complacency could be dangerous
Indian oil and gas less disrupted by second Covid wave
The greater human toll of the latest spike in coronavirus cases is not mirrored in India’s hydrocarbons markets
Letter from the Middle East: Green shoots of recovery
There are many reasons to be cheerful across the Mena oil and gas patch
Worst is over for US refining
Wave of recent refinery closures and competitive edge make consolidation increasingly less likely
Covid-19
Serena Huang
17 December 2020
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Refining faces extended Covid effect

A partial recovery is unlikely to segue into a strong year to come

The refining industry is far from out of the woods going into 2021, even though demand has rebounded from the lows of the second quarter of 2020. The oversupply that has accrued will continue to expedite a global trend of refinery closures and rationalisations already announced during 2020. But China will be a notable exception. The windfall on which refiners were counting from a rise in low sulphur marine fuel demand following IMO 2020 failed to materialise as Covid-19 overtook events. Global oil demand registered its largest decline this century, plunging by 20-25mn bl/d at the pandemic’s peak. Refining margins tumbled as the oil surplus ballooned, sending combined crude and refined produc

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