The Middle East will dominate again, says IEA
Middle East oil will dominate again when US supplies fade - unless high oil prices spur more efficiency first, writes Derek Brower
North America's soaring tight-oil output is stealing market share from Opec. But the Middle East's low-cost oil will be critical when the American burst fades after 2020, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said. For now, the North American surge continues. US output will reach 11 million barrels a day (b/d) by 2015, making it the largest producer in the world two years earlier than the IEA predicted last year, the agency's chief economist Fatih Birol said. But the trend of rising output from the country was unlikely to continue after the 2020s, he said. And Birol cautioned against giving "wrong signals" to Mideast producers that the world didn't need more oil from the region, lest they st
Also in this section
5 March 2026
Gas is a central pillar of Colombia’s energy system, but declining production poses a significant challenge, and LNG will be increasingly needed as a stopgap. A recent major offshore gas discovery offers hope, but policy improvements are also required, Camilo Morales, secretary general of Naturgas, the Colombian gas association, tells Petroleum Economist
4 March 2026
The continent’s inventories were already depleted before conflict erupted in the Middle East, causing prices to spike ahead of the crucial summer refilling season
4 March 2026
The US president has repeatedly promised to lower gasoline prices, but this ambition conflicts with his parallel aim to increase drilling and could be upended by his war against Iran
4 March 2026
With the Strait of Hormuz effectively closed following US-Israel strikes and Iran’s retaliatory escalation, Fujairah has become the region’s critical pressure release valve—and is now under serious threat






