US tight oil turning over a new leaf?
A shale sector that emphasised returns over production growth would be a win from both shareholders and oil markets
Returns, returns, returns. Shale executives echoed each other on the latest round of quarterly calls with investors, promising wary shareholders and analysts that they're ready to start putting returns over production growth. This isn't the first time investors have heard the refrain, though. As the oil price recovered from its early 2016 lows, shale companies made a similar pledge. The days of spending beyond their means to chase loss-making output growth, executives told investors, were over. Then the animal spirits took hold again. The shale industry has spent about 50% more than it has brought in this year, while production quickly ramped up. Only a few companies have squeaked out profit
Also in this section
4 December 2025
Time is running out for Lukoil and Rosneft to divest international assets that will be mostly rendered useless to them when the US sanctions deadline arrives in mid-December
3 December 2025
Aramco’s pursuit of $30b in US gas partnerships marks a strategic pivot. The US gains capital and certainty; Saudi Arabia gains access, flexibility and a new export future
2 December 2025
The interplay between OPEC+, China and the US will define oil markets throughout 2026
1 December 2025
The North African producer’s first bidding round in almost two decades is an important milestone but the recent extension suggests a degree of trepidation






