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Venezuela upends global heavy crude market
The ripple effects of US refiners switching to Venezuela grades will be felt from Canada to China and everywhere in between
Venezuela mismanaged its oil, and US shale benefitted
Chavez’s socialist reforms boosted state control but pushed knowledge and capital out of the sector, opening the way for the US shale revolution
Venezuela’s true oil potential
The Latin American producer’s crude prospects rely on a multi-pronged approach where even the relatively easy wins will take considerable time, effort and cost
The looming risks of a US-Venezuela war
The Caribbean country’s role in the global oil market is significantly diminished, but disruptions caused by outright conflict would still have implications for US Gulf Coast refineries
Letter from London: Oil’s golden triangle
The interplay between OPEC+, China and the US will define oil markets throughout 2026
The curious case of oil-on-water
The market is facing being drowned in excess crude, but one caveat is that a large chunk is due to buyers reluctant to snap up sanctioned barrels
China’s oil plan comes together
The country’s rapid output growth is an example that other producers could learn from
China seizes oil security opportunity
A combination of geopolitical uncertainty and OPEC+ barrels has driven a renewed focus on building strategic oil stocks despite flagging demand
Arctic LNG comes in from the cold
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China’s role as oil buffer stock manager
The country’s intervention in global oil markets to stabilise prices could last well into 2026
China Venezuela PDV
Diane Pallardy
12 July 2018
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China loans make Venezuela’s outlook more precarious

Patience is wearing thin among both China and other trading partners

Venezuela's economic forecast continues to worsen. The government is struggling to pay back interest on loans to China—the terms of which were relaxed back in June 2016—and its dependency on oil exports to the Asian superpower have become "a question of survival", as one analyst puts it. Along with Russia, China has lent Venezuela over $77bn—including $250m the Development Bank of China approved on 5 July to increase petroleum development—but Caracas has exhausted its debtors' and expropriated investors' patience, and some have started to seek refund via the seizure of cargoes shipping PDVSA oil. Several Venezuelan oil cargoes have been seized in the Dutch Caribbean islands in the past two y

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