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OPEC+’s 11m b/d March production collapse
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The crude oil terminal berth in Qingdao, Shandong
Markets China
Ehsan ul-Haq
26 February 2026
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China’s new oil position

OPEC, upstream investors and refiners all face strategic shifts now the Asian behemoth is no longer the main engine of global oil demand growth

While India has overtaken China as the primary driver of global oil demand growth, the Middle Kingdom remains the world’s largest crude importer and a vital pillar of global consumption. Any fluctuation in Chinese demand continues to influence worldwide refinery margins, crude price differentials and upstream investment decisions. China’s consistent demand growth is now a thing of the past; growth has decelerated, and the debate over when its oil demand will peak persists, with most experts predicting it will reach its zenith within a few years. This has implications not only for global policymakers but also for OPEC and other major producers. Although oil demand in China recovered in 2023 f

Also in this section
OPEC+’s 11m b/d March production collapse
13 April 2026
Petroleum Economist analysis highlights sharp shift from crude oversupply to market deficit, with Iraq and Kuwait badly affected and key producers Saudi Arabia and the UAE also seeing output sharply lower
Galkynysh goes fourth
13 April 2026
Turkmenistan is moving ahead with a modest expansion of the giant Galkynysh field to sustain gas deliveries abroad, but persistent delays to other key pipeline projects and geopolitical risks continue to constrain its export ambitions
The UK’s problematic power price
13 April 2026
Expensive electricity has forced out swathes of energy-intensive industry and now threatens the country’s ability to attract future investment in datacentres and the digital economy
Letter from the UAE: The GCC and Iran – No easy way out
Opinion
13 April 2026
For GCC producers, the ceasefire may prove more destabilising than the war itself: exports remain constrained, and control over Hormuz has shifted in ways that could endure

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