The Doha collapse
Saudi-Iranian rivalry has thwarted an oil-supply deal, just as the price recovery was gathering momentum
Forget the freeze: the Russian effort to cajole Opec’s big producers into even the most benign form of supply-side management to support prices is now over. The collapse of the Doha deal on 17 April will destroy the fragile trust between major producers and could prompt a new wave of supply into a glutted market. Bullish oil-market sentiment had been building in recent weeks, supporting a price recovery that had taken Brent from under $38 a barrel to almost $45/b. Fifty-dollar oil was in sight: all the Doha delegates needed to do was talk calmly and sprinkle some more dust on the rally. They failed. The meeting went badly. The Russian energy minister, Alexander Novak, believed he was in Doha
Also in this section
29 April 2026
The UAE’s exit from the alliance marks a decisive step towards a world in which oil markets are shaped less by collective management and more by national strategy
29 April 2026
Trafigura’s $1b prepayment agreement confirms African resource holders’ renewed interest in oil-backed financing deals as they look to capitalise on high oil prices
29 April 2026
The UAE’s departure from the oil producers’ group was a surprise to many, but the move can be traced back to a single point five years ago
28 April 2026
Oil traders warning of $200/bl oil are wrong, and the market should be wary of proclamations that the impact of the oil shortage has only begun to be felt and a that a ‘harsh adjustment’ is coming—even for industrialised nations






