World Energy Outlook: oil-price pressure
While crude demand will grow over the long-term, vast US reserves and lower cost production will keep a lid on prices, says the International Energy Agency
The need to replace existing oil reserves, if nothing else, is likely to keep explorers busy over the next two decades. Yet the International Energy Agency's forecast of sluggish demand growth—and its expectation that US oil production is likely to remain resilient for years to come-is hardly likely to lift hearts among those seeking fresh reserves elsewhere. The Paris-based think tank forecasts in its World Energy Outlook 2017 that the US will account for 80% of the increase in global oil supply to 2025, helping to keep a lid on the oil price, which it sees as rising to around $83 a barrel in that year under its middle-of the-road New Policies Scenario, and only $72/b in its Sustainable Dev
Also in this section
16 April 2026
Demand for oil is falling because supply cannot meet it, not because it is no longer required
16 April 2026
The continent has an immediate opportunity to make the most of its energy resources by capturing gas that is currently slipping away
15 April 2026
The continent is seeing political pushback to climate plans, corporate reassessment of transition goals and rising supply risk in a fractured global order
15 April 2026
The Middle East energy crisis may turn out to be pivotal to the industry’s long-term expansion, but significant challenges still stand in its way






