Oil demand to increase in 2024
Oil may not escape a recession
Those who believe a global recession has been avoided may be mistaken, with huge ramifications for the oil market in 2024
The theme for oil demand expectations at the beginning of 2024 is that the US and Chinese economies will prove their resilience and global crude consumption patterns will hit new records. It is a fragile and, arguably, misplaced assumption that could see oil prices slump and OPEC’s market management tested to its limits as supply tries not to overwhelm demand. Oil demand will increase by 1.1m b/d in 2024, according to the IEA. This is 130,000b/d above the agency’s previous estimate as it now assumes a better economic outlook for the US and a soft landing. OPEC echoes this bullishness, with its December oil market report highlighting an increase of 2.2m b/d, which is the same as its November
Also in this section
28 April 2026
The key energy player faces balancing regional routes, political complexities, and creating a clear strategic vision for energy security
24 April 2026
The European Commission’s response to the Middle East crisis is to double down on its transition strategy, with plans for a new target on electrification
24 April 2026
A major new discovery by Eni and BP that can likely be fast-tracked to production is welcome news for Egypt as it scrambles to plug a widening supply gap and deal with rising import risks
24 April 2026
Countries in the region are turning to the cleaner-burning fuel for power generation, driving demand for imports
