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Middle East oil’s multi-step recovery plan
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Downstream Markets
James Gavin
12 April 2024
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Tehran goes it alone

Iran has announced multibillion dollar spending programmes aimed at domestic companies, inspired by recent export success

Iran’s entanglement in a worsening regional conflict with Israel is dominating headlines, but below the radar, the Islamic Republic has orchestrated an increase in oil output and exports that is feeding greater confidence in its ability to resuscitate its oil and gas sector. OPEC figures show Iranian crude production rose from an average of 2.55m b/d in 2022 to 2.86m b/d in 2023. By Q4 2023, Iranian output was above 3m b/d, a five-year high. Iran was last year ranked as the world’s second-largest source of supply growth after the US and is expected to increase production by a further 280,000b/d this year, according to the IEA. Crude exports, which fell to as low as 300,000b/d in 2020, accord

Also in this section
Middle East oil’s multi-step recovery plan
28 April 2026
Restoring supply from Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Kuwait, Qatar, Bahrain and Iraq involves complexities far beyond simply adjusting operational controls
Decoding datacentre energy demand
28 April 2026
Datacentres will guzzle power at a ferocious rate, but the impact on wider energy markets will be far more complex than previously thought
Iraq’s pipeline dilemma
28 April 2026
The key energy player faces balancing regional routes, political complexities, and creating a clear strategic vision for energy security
The EU’s electric dreams
24 April 2026
The European Commission’s response to the Middle East crisis is to double down on its transition strategy, with plans for a new target on electrification

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