US operators are unlikely to rapidly raise output
Caution reigns in US shale
Even amid climbing oil prices and strong market backwardation, most US shale independents show little scope or intent to raise output in the short term
“We are not going to change our growth rate, whether oil is at $100/bl or $150/bl”, says Scott Sheffield, CEO of Texan independent Pioneer Natural Resources. Similarly, Houston-based independent Marathon Oil forecasts flat production in 2022 and admitted it is “not allocating any production growth capital in 2022”. Mike Henderson, executive vice-president of operations at Marathon, adds “I want to make clear that, should commodity prices continue to surprise to the upside, we will remain disciplined and have no plans to allocate production growth capital.” Some firms are even warning of production declines despite WTI breaching $90/bl in February and rapidly heading towards $130/bl in March.
Also in this section
13 March 2026
Brussels is again weighing a cap on gas prices amid the Hormuz crisis, but the measure could backfire by deterring the LNG cargoes Europe urgently needs
12 March 2026
Emergency oil stocks provide a last line of defence to oil market shocks, so the IEA’s unprecedented 400m bl release represents something of a double-edged sword
12 March 2026
LPG could rapidly expand access to clean cooking across Africa and prevent hundreds of thousands of deaths from indoor air pollution each year, but infrastructure shortages and regulatory barriers are slowing investment and market growth
11 March 2026
Missiles over Dubai and disruption in Hormuz are testing the emirate’s reputation—and shaking the energy hub at the centre of the Gulf economy
