US operators are unlikely to rapidly raise output
Caution reigns in US shale
Even amid climbing oil prices and strong market backwardation, most US shale independents show little scope or intent to raise output in the short term
“We are not going to change our growth rate, whether oil is at $100/bl or $150/bl”, says Scott Sheffield, CEO of Texan independent Pioneer Natural Resources. Similarly, Houston-based independent Marathon Oil forecasts flat production in 2022 and admitted it is “not allocating any production growth capital in 2022”. Mike Henderson, executive vice-president of operations at Marathon, adds “I want to make clear that, should commodity prices continue to surprise to the upside, we will remain disciplined and have no plans to allocate production growth capital.” Some firms are even warning of production declines despite WTI breaching $90/bl in February and rapidly heading towards $130/bl in March.
Also in this section
28 April 2026
Oil traders warning of $200/bl oil are wrong, and the market should be wary of proclamations that the impact of the oil shortage has only begun to be felt and a that a ‘harsh adjustment’ is coming—even for industrialised nations
28 April 2026
Restoring supply from Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Kuwait, Qatar, Bahrain and Iraq involves complexities far beyond simply adjusting operational controls
28 April 2026
Datacentres will guzzle power at a ferocious rate, but the impact on wider energy markets will be far more complex than previously thought
28 April 2026
The key energy player faces balancing regional routes, political complexities, and creating a clear strategic vision for energy security
