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Letter from London: Oil’s golden triangle
The interplay between OPEC+, China and the US will define oil markets throughout 2026
The curious case of oil-on-water
The market is facing being drowned in excess crude, but one caveat is that a large chunk is due to buyers reluctant to snap up sanctioned barrels
China’s oil plan comes together
The country’s rapid output growth is an example that other producers could learn from
MENA states sharpen their gas focus
The GCC countries and other states in the region are looking to make greater domestic use of gas, both that produced at home and imported volumes
China seizes oil security opportunity
A combination of geopolitical uncertainty and OPEC+ barrels has driven a renewed focus on building strategic oil stocks despite flagging demand
Arctic LNG comes in from the cold
Beijing now appears prepared to accept discounted Russian LNG, even at the cost of heightened sanctions risk
China’s role as oil buffer stock manager
The country’s intervention in global oil markets to stabilise prices could last well into 2026
TotalEnergies sticks to winning formula
TotalEnergies is an outlier among other majors for remaining committed to low-carbon investments while continuing to replenish and expand its ample oil and gas portfolio, with an appetite for high risk/high return projects.
Power of Siberia 2: Deal or no deal?
There is a good strategic case for China to sign a deal for gas supplies via the proposed Power of Siberia 2 pipeline, but Beijing’s concerns around over-dependence on a single supplier and desire to drive down the price make it relatively unlikely a contract will be finalised this year
China creates two-tier oil dynamic
There is a bifurcation in the global oil market as China’s stockpiling contrasts with reduced inventories elsewhere
Donald Trump Iran TotalEnergies France China
Gerald Butt
5 June 2018
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China goes for gas in Iran

Beijing glimpses a Middle East energy consolidation, by replacing France's Total in South Pars gas expansion venture

By the beginning of August, Total will know whether or not it has a future in Iran. The Iranian authorities have given it two months to seek an exemption from US sanctions on their country. Total is involved in the Phase 11 development of the huge offshore South Pars gasfield, which is shared with Qatar—with the Qataris calling it the North Field. As recently as April, the French firm issued tenders for sub-contracts for South Pars, still hoping for a miracle. The chances of the Trump administration allowing Total to ignore sanctions are remote. Furthermore, the likelihood is that France's loss will be China's gain. For Iran's oil minister Bijan Zanganeh said recently that "if the US adminis

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