Winter warning signs for US gas market
Upward price pressures may benefit producers, but consumers will be hoping for a mild winter this year
Soaring gas prices in Europe and Asia have understandably taken all the headlines in recent weeks. But conditions are also ripe for a North American gas price hike, especially if there is a repeat of the Arctic cold snap that struck in the early months of 2021. “A cold winter has the potential to send US natural gas prices into the $15-20/mn Btu range for a prolonged period given the inelastic natural of supply and demand currently,” says Matthew Palmer, senior director, global gas, at information provider IHS Markit. The EIA forecasts that gas prices will most likely average $5.67/mn Btu between October and March, the highest winter price since 2007-08. In mid-October, Henry Hub had already
Also in this section
5 March 2026
Gas is a central pillar of Colombia’s energy system, but declining production poses a significant challenge, and LNG will be increasingly needed as a stopgap. A recent major offshore gas discovery offers hope, but policy improvements are also required, Camilo Morales, secretary general of Naturgas, the Colombian gas association, tells Petroleum Economist
4 March 2026
The continent’s inventories were already depleted before conflict erupted in the Middle East, causing prices to spike ahead of the crucial summer refilling season
4 March 2026
The US president has repeatedly promised to lower gasoline prices, but this ambition conflicts with his parallel aim to increase drilling and could be upended by his war against Iran
4 March 2026
With the Strait of Hormuz effectively closed following US-Israel strikes and Iran’s retaliatory escalation, Fujairah has become the region’s critical pressure release valve—and is now under serious threat






