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Why the UAE decided to quit OPEC
The UAE’s departure from the oil producers’ group was a surprise to many, but the move can be traced back to a single point five years ago
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The European Commission’s response to the Middle East crisis is to double down on its transition strategy, with plans for a new target on electrification
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The regime’s policy of using nuclear ambiguity as a deterrent may have failed but it has realised it has other cards to play, while its neighbours are reappraising their approach to security
Letter from the UAE: The GCC and Iran – No easy way out
For GCC producers, the ceasefire may prove more destabilising than the war itself: exports remain constrained, and control over Hormuz has shifted in ways that could endure
China’s secure energy transition
Alongside a rapid continued build-out of renewables, China’s latest five-year plan stresses the value of domestic hydrocarbon production for energy security and calls for increased Russian gas imports
Do not politicise a geopolitical crisis – Ydreos
The Strait of Hormuz disruption has exposed weakness in the global energy system and reignited debate over security of supply, but it should not be used to justify an accelerated shift away from fossil fuels, says the secretary general of the IGU
A bigger and longer crisis
Attacks on key oil and LNG assets across the Gulf mean a prolonged supply disruption, with damage to Qatar’s export capacity undermining confidence in the global gas system
How Russia gains from the Hormuz supply shock
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Letter from Dubai: A safe haven under fire
Missiles over Dubai and disruption in Hormuz are testing the emirate’s reputation—and shaking the energy hub at the centre of the Gulf economy
Nigerian president Bola Tinubu
Opinion
Nigeria Politics
Nick Branson and Agwu Ojowu
London and Abuja
21 August 2023
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Letter from Nigeria: New leader delivers shock therapy

President Tinubu has already targeted major reforms at the country’s dysfunctional downstream and upstream sectors, as well as overhauling monetary policy

Nigerians had low expectations of their new president, Bola Tinubu, who was elected with a record-low 36.61% of the vote in February. As co-founder of the All Progressives Congress party, which brought his predecessor Muhammadu Buhari to power in 2015, Tinubu was regarded as a continuity candidate, unlikely to deliver much-needed reform after eight years of sclerotic Buhari rule. However, Tinubu has made an immediate impact on Nigeria’s political economy, breaking the inertia that characterised Buhari’s tenure and upending the entire petroleum sector—starting with the downstream. Subsidy elimination Tinubu used his inauguration speech in May to end a nearly 50-year-old fuel subsidy. This had

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Oil traders warning of $200/bl oil are wrong, and the market should be wary of proclamations that the impact of the oil shortage has only begun to be felt and a that a ‘harsh adjustment’ is coming—even for industrialised nations

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