China’s energy demand faces headwinds

Economic difficulties mean the outlook for H2 remains highly uncertain despite planned stimulus measures

China’s efforts to drive an economic recovery may result in greater energy demand through the rest of this year, but the outlook is highly uncertain and will depend on the level of stimulus policymakers provide. China barely avoided an economic contraction in the second quarter of this year. GDP expanded by just 0.4pc, a massive step down from the 4.8pc seen in the first quarter, as Covid lockdowns—mainly in the northeastern province of Jilin and the commercial hub of Shanghai—slowed the economy. As China’s Covid situation has largely stabilised, the country’s focus is now shifting to economic recovery as Beijing vies to keep this year's official 5.5pc growth target in sight. 4pc – ADB