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Letter from Saudi Arabia: US-Saudi energy ties enter a new phase
Aramco’s pursuit of $30b in US gas partnerships marks a strategic pivot. The US gains capital and certainty; Saudi Arabia gains access, flexibility and a new export future
Letter from London: Oil’s golden triangle
The interplay between OPEC+, China and the US will define oil markets throughout 2026
The curious case of oil-on-water
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OPEC+ nears output targets amid unsolved riddles
OPEC+ has proven to be astute at bringing back oil production, but mysteries around Chinese buying, missing barrels and oil-on-water have left the group in wait-and-see mode
Turkmenistan's pipe dream
Construction of the pipeline in Afghanistan is making tangible progress, but extending it into Pakistan and India remains unrealistic for political reasons
China’s oil plan comes together
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China seizes oil security opportunity
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Only Saudi Arabia and UAE have been able to increase their exports
Oil markets US Opec China India
Simon Ferrie
26 October 2021
Follow @PetroleumEcon
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Middle East expands Asian market share

Asia’s crude supply has shifted in recent months as Mideast Gulf producers have increased exports. And that trend may continue into the new year

Many Opec+ members have failed to increase—or in some cases even maintain—their oil export volumes at target levels despite the cartel’s latest production deal. Only Saudi Arabia and UAE—with ample and low-cost capacity—were able to lift their exports over the third quarter, adding 1.9mn bl/d, according to energy market analytics firm Vortexa. But other producers have been unable to respond. Combined exports from the rest of Opec+ are down by around 1.4mn bl/d since the start of the year. This failure to boost output has contributed to Asia's growing dependence on the Mideast Gulf. Middle Eastern crude accounted for 77.2pc of Asia’s imports in Q3, or 11.91mn bl/d, compared with 71.7pc, or 1

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