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Letter from London: Oil’s golden triangle
The interplay between OPEC+, China and the US will define oil markets throughout 2026
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The market is facing being drowned in excess crude, but one caveat is that a large chunk is due to buyers reluctant to snap up sanctioned barrels
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Arctic LNG comes in from the cold
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Difficult times for Germany’s downstream
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Power of Siberia 2: Deal or no deal?
There is a good strategic case for China to sign a deal for gas supplies via the proposed Power of Siberia 2 pipeline, but Beijing’s concerns around over-dependence on a single supplier and desire to drive down the price make it relatively unlikely a contract will be finalised this year
China creates two-tier oil dynamic
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China’s oil output to scale new heights
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Shanghai
China Oil markets
Shi Weijun
Shanghai
2 February 2023
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Chinese energy demand gets back on track

The signs point towards a comeback in 2023, but uncertainty around Covid remains a factor

China’s energy markets look set for a year of reset and normalisation after a tumultuous 12 months of struggling to balance economic growth with Covid containment. And a surprisingly strong final quarter last year has generated optimism that the country’s reopening can support global oil demand. Chinese demand for oil declined by c.500,000bl/d, or 3pc, last year compared with 2021, representing the biggest annual drop since the 1980s. A rebound in the country’s appetite will likely be key for the global market in 2023, as Beijing’s abrupt abandonment of zero-Covid in December paves the way for a faster-than-expected reopening by the second quarter. With recession risks mounting for the US an

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