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OPEC presses pause
The group’s oil production declined in November, our latest analysis finds, amid divided sentiment over market balances and geopolitical jitters
Learning from oil’s supercycle miss
Mistaken assumptions around an oil bull run that never happened are a warning over the talk of a supply glut
Letter from London: Oil’s golden triangle
The interplay between OPEC+, China and the US will define oil markets throughout 2026
The complex crude glut picture
The swelling crude supply story involves the key plot twists of reluctant buyers, limited oil stocks and refiners playing the long game
Alberta’s energy hub sees silver lining
US tariffs bolster Alberta’s Industrial Heartland exports to Asia
The curious case of oil-on-water
The market is facing being drowned in excess crude, but one caveat is that a large chunk is due to buyers reluctant to snap up sanctioned barrels
OPEC+ nears output targets amid unsolved riddles
OPEC+ has proven to be astute at bringing back oil production, but mysteries around Chinese buying, missing barrels and oil-on-water have left the group in wait-and-see mode
Nigeria charts ‘just transition’ course for NOCs
OPEC Governor Ademola Adeyemi Bero argues that only by prioritising oil and gas through partnerships with IOCs and stable OPEC market management can NOCs fulfil their pivotal global role
Oil’s fragile AI trillions
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Houthi leader Abdul-Malik al-Houthi addresses followers via video link at a mosque in Sanaa
Markets
Simon Ferrie
29 February 2024
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Market fundamentals mute Red Sea price impact

But the crude, product, LNG and tanker markets are all still facing significant disruption

Yemen’s Houthis continue to threaten and interdict shipping in the southern Red Sea and Gulf of Aden in response to the ongoing war in Gaza and the subsequent UK-US strikes on Yemen itself. This has severely impacted vessel traffic through the Suez Canal and Bab el-Mandeb strait chokepoints, resulting in significant shifts in commodity flows. Freight markets have seen the most disruption, while other sectors have not felt such a pronounced impact, at least on pricing. Crude and LNG prices have seen only relatively muted responses to the crisis, while the products markets have been impacted to a greater degree.   The Bab el-Mandeb is a key chokepoint in global markets, with consultancy BMI no

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OPEC presses pause
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The group’s oil production declined in November, our latest analysis finds, amid divided sentiment over market balances and geopolitical jitters

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