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OPEC presses pause
The group’s oil production declined in November, our latest analysis finds, amid divided sentiment over market balances and geopolitical jitters
Learning from oil’s supercycle miss
Mistaken assumptions around an oil bull run that never happened are a warning over the talk of a supply glut
Letter from London: Oil’s golden triangle
The interplay between OPEC+, China and the US will define oil markets throughout 2026
The complex crude glut picture
The swelling crude supply story involves the key plot twists of reluctant buyers, limited oil stocks and refiners playing the long game
Alberta’s energy hub sees silver lining
US tariffs bolster Alberta’s Industrial Heartland exports to Asia
The curious case of oil-on-water
The market is facing being drowned in excess crude, but one caveat is that a large chunk is due to buyers reluctant to snap up sanctioned barrels
OPEC+ nears output targets amid unsolved riddles
OPEC+ has proven to be astute at bringing back oil production, but mysteries around Chinese buying, missing barrels and oil-on-water have left the group in wait-and-see mode
Nigeria charts ‘just transition’ course for NOCs
OPEC Governor Ademola Adeyemi Bero argues that only by prioritising oil and gas through partnerships with IOCs and stable OPEC market management can NOCs fulfil their pivotal global role
Oil’s fragile AI trillions
Prices risk hitting $10/bl should the tech bubble burst amid worrying economic fallout
OPEC+ exposes its producers’ limits
Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Iraq appear to be only members able to increase output as Russia approaches close to maximum capacity
The Strategic Petroleum Reserve in Freeport, US
Markets Supply and demand
Philip K. Verleger
30 July 2024
Follow @PetroleumEcon
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Oil stocks have become truly strategic

Strategic stock releases designed to alleviate price shocks emanating from disruptions came into their own after the Russia crisis

The world has experienced 20 oil market disruptions over the last 50 years. Up until this decade, the maximum price increase was predictable. Supply losses—or fears of losses—caused those holding stocks to hoard and those who needed stocks to bid aggressively, pushing prices up. Over that span, consuming nations had the option to moderate the price impact of disruptions by drawing down strategic stocks. Their leaders ignored such calls until 2022, when a significant release broke the price rise prompted by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. In each of the disruptions before 2022, government officials would say the same thing. For example, in 2019, Brian Hook, US special representative for Iran an

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