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OPEC presses pause
The group’s oil production declined in November, our latest analysis finds, amid divided sentiment over market balances and geopolitical jitters
Learning from oil’s supercycle miss
Mistaken assumptions around an oil bull run that never happened are a warning over the talk of a supply glut
Letter from London: Oil’s golden triangle
The interplay between OPEC+, China and the US will define oil markets throughout 2026
The complex crude glut picture
The swelling crude supply story involves the key plot twists of reluctant buyers, limited oil stocks and refiners playing the long game
Alberta’s energy hub sees silver lining
US tariffs bolster Alberta’s Industrial Heartland exports to Asia
The curious case of oil-on-water
The market is facing being drowned in excess crude, but one caveat is that a large chunk is due to buyers reluctant to snap up sanctioned barrels
OPEC+ nears output targets amid unsolved riddles
OPEC+ has proven to be astute at bringing back oil production, but mysteries around Chinese buying, missing barrels and oil-on-water have left the group in wait-and-see mode
Nigeria charts ‘just transition’ course for NOCs
OPEC Governor Ademola Adeyemi Bero argues that only by prioritising oil and gas through partnerships with IOCs and stable OPEC market management can NOCs fulfil their pivotal global role
Oil’s fragile AI trillions
Prices risk hitting $10/bl should the tech bubble burst amid worrying economic fallout
OPEC+ exposes its producers’ limits
Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Iraq appear to be only members able to increase output as Russia approaches close to maximum capacity
Markets Opec
Paul Hickin,
Editor-in-chief
5 March 2025
Follow @PetroleumEcon
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OPEC+ plays with a straight bat

The oil alliance’s decision to keep to the plan amid tightening economic fundamentals seems to have been lost in the global geopolitical maelstrom, misplaced market speculation and haze of conjecture

Whenever OPEC+ goes against the prevailing consensus, the reactions are usually either that the oil alliance has got it wrong or that a message is being sent, or else a conspiracy theory is cooked up. All three themes, along with inevitable price action that goes along with signalling more barrels will re-enter the market, have reverberated across an oil world that has totally missed the point: OPEC+ knows best. The eight OPEC+ producers that agreed to additional voluntary output cuts in April and November 2023 said they would proceed with their previously agreed plan to gradually roll back the November 2023 target reductions. The total of 2.2m b/d equates to a month-on-month rise in April o

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