UAE Energy Minister Suhail al-Mazrouei at the OPEC International Seminar in Vienna
OPEC+’s extra barrels mostly made of paper
Robust demand and a limited supply of additional physical barrels from key OPEC+ producers has kept the oil market in a healthy price range
OPEC+ has added just 160,000b/d of oil to the market since it started unwinding its production cuts in April, according to Petroleum Economist estimates. This is far below its pledged increase of nearly 960,000b/d. However, global demand has remained unexpectedly resilient, with lower fuel prices and a weaker dollar boosting consumption, especially in developing economies. This sustained consumption growth is keeping prices buoyant above $65/bl, even amid broader economic uncertainty and trade tensions. Whether these price levels will pressure shale producers and OPEC+ quota-breakers into compliance remains uncertain. Despite uneven compliance across the OPEC+ bloc, heavyweights within
Also in this section
23 January 2026
A strategic pivot away from Russian crude in recent weeks tees up the possibility of improved US-India trade relations
23 January 2026
The signing of a deal with a TotalEnergies-led consortium to explore for gas in a block adjoining Israel’s maritime area may breathe new life into the country’s gas ambitions
22 January 2026
As Saudi Arabia pushes mining as a new pillar of its economy, Saudi Aramco is positioning itself at the intersection of hydrocarbons, minerals and industrial policy
22 January 2026
New long-term deal is latest addition to country’s rapidly evolving supply portfolio as it eyes role as regional gas hub
