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OPEC+ nears output targets amid unsolved riddles
OPEC+ has proven to be astute at bringing back oil production, but mysteries around Chinese buying, missing barrels and oil-on-water have left the group in wait-and-see mode
OPEC+ exposes its producers’ limits
Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Iraq appear to be only members able to increase output as Russia approaches close to maximum capacity
Letter from Vienna: OPEC at 65
Following its founding in September 1960, OPEC has become a key player in the global energy sector and a vital source of market stability
OPEC’s realignment
The group is cleansing itself of non-compliers and resetting expectations as it unwinds quicker than expected in a bid to go beyond production quotas
OPEC+ off-target in July
The producers’ group missed its output increase target for the month and may soon face a critical test of its strategy
The great OPEC+ reset
The quick, unified and decisive strategy to return all the barrels from the hefty tranche of cuts from the eight producers involved in voluntary curbs signals a shift and sets the tone for the path ahead
Difficult times for Germany’s downstream
Europe’s refining sector is desperately trying to adapt to a shifting global energy landscape and nowhere is this more apparent than in its largest economy
Letter from Austria: OPEC delivers wake-up call
A brutally honest picture about the potential role of oil and gas in 2050 should prompt policymakers to not only reflect but also change course to meet vital energy needs
OPEC+’s extra barrels mostly made of paper
Robust demand and a limited supply of additional physical barrels from key OPEC+ producers has kept the oil market in a healthy price range
IEA and OPEC energy assumptions on fragile ground
Geopolitical uncertainty casts a pall over expectations around demand, supply, investment and spare capacity
Outlook 2021
Oil markets Opec
Adi Imsirovic
14 January 2021
Follow @PetroleumEcon
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Opec should bear in mind its history

The past offers painful warnings against the temptations that 2021 may bring

The start of 2021 has proven as turbulent as the year just gone, even by the tumultuous historical standards of the oil industry. Saudi Arabia’s 2020 efforts to rally Opec producers and expand the scope of its wider Opec+ alliance to arrange ‘orderly’ production cuts and support prices threatened to unravel in the face of intransigence from Russia and others. The kingdom’s decision to bear an ever greater cuts burden has calmed the market for now. But, for the rest of the year and beyond, the attitude and behaviour of all Opec members and their allies will be critical for the oil market’s supply side. And, to try to see into the future, we should remind ourselves of the way Opec has behaved

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